Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 3.308395 3.972843 4.716254 5.606686 6.641088 7.801621 9.198846
2025-05-04 2.525253 3.421714 4.530577 5.990135 7.846249 10.112111 13.069697
2025-05-11 1.902077 2.862351 4.156568 5.999649 8.522781 11.817111 16.397129
2025-05-18 1.422614 2.355549 3.713690 5.786524 8.810334 12.989470 19.112872
2025-05-25 1.072378 1.941748 3.300728 5.509190 8.918265 13.870518 21.463380
2025-06-01 0.869334 1.705653 3.098123 5.488241 9.361121 15.229299 24.574176
2025-06-08 0.723970 1.530940 2.955083 5.524162 9.871998 16.710294 27.968038
2025-06-15 0.601208 1.367454 2.797634 5.502194 10.269537 18.031358 31.205306
2025-06-22 0.472732 1.161450 2.524513 5.230692 10.202973 18.585545 33.253516
2025-06-29 0.396693 1.044984 2.397010 5.198941 10.536642 19.809837 36.465014
2025-07-06 0.334039 0.942400 2.277498 5.160864 10.845816 21.006099 39.705371
2025-07-13 0.311733 0.929244 2.340462 5.488710 11.864403 23.511491 45.352796
2025-07-20 0.279789 0.886431 2.335813 5.685139 12.666477 25.722088 50.697630
2025-07-27 0.256849 0.861821 2.368400 5.965047 13.662504 28.367104 57.008897
2025-08-03 0.219003 0.785945 2.267373 5.938585 14.035307 29.879302 61.371974
2025-08-10 0.177701 0.687349 2.091516 5.715735 13.972091 30.549856 64.218709
2025-08-17 0.141590 0.592547 1.905238 5.437655 13.753952 30.890574 66.452840
2025-08-24 0.121335 0.543259 1.830001 5.415700 14.091006 32.353201 70.926300
2025-08-31 0.105936 0.505919 1.780626 5.450785 14.558125 34.110829 76.083899
2025-09-07 0.091072 0.465270 1.713311 5.428932 14.889221 35.607124 80.810780
2025-09-14 0.072421 0.401870 1.562860 5.160565 14.604441 35.776328 82.860041
2025-09-21 0.062069 0.369166 1.501897 5.129172 14.889665 37.188770 87.544673
2025-09-28 0.053109 0.338855 1.442053 5.091539 15.154090 38.571811 92.247826